{"id":5275,"date":"2016-07-22T03:35:37","date_gmt":"2016-07-22T07:35:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lendongxuongdoai.info\/?p=5275"},"modified":"2021-02-02T23:08:19","modified_gmt":"2021-02-03T04:08:19","slug":"nhung-van-co-chien-tranh-chau-au","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lendongxuongdoai.info\/?p=5275","title":{"rendered":"Nh\u1eefng v\u00e1n c\u1edd chi\u1ebfn tranh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u"},"content":{"rendered":"

T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc B\u1eafc \u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng (NATO) h\u1ecdp h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 8 v\u00e0 9-7-2016 \u1edf th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 Warsaw c\u1ee7a Ba Lan. Khi gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o NATO chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb hai n\u0103m m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0n binh l\u00ednh tham gia nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn \u1edf c\u1ea3 hai ph\u00eda bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi c\u1ee7a Nga v\u1edbi Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.\u00a0 Sam Jones, bi\u00ean t\u1eadp vi\u00ean qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng v\u00e0 an ninh c\u1ee7a Financial Times, th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t ph\u00f3ng s\u1ef1 chi ti\u1ebft v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

\"L\u00ednh
L\u00ednh M\u1ef9 b\u1eafn ph\u00e1o M777 trong di\u1ec5n t\u1eadp chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u cho cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn Nh\u00e1t Ki\u1ebfm (\u1ea2nh: Andrejs Strokins)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Nh\u1eefng v\u00e1n c\u1edd chi\u1ebfn tranh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u<\/strong><\/p>\n

Sam Jones, <\/i><\/b>Financial Times 30-6-2016<\/i>
\n<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n

Ph\u1ea1m V\u0169 L\u1eeda H\u1ea1<\/i><\/b><\/a> l\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ecbch<\/p>\n

T\u1eadn s\u00e2u trong r\u1eebng b\u1ea1ch d\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t s\u00e1ng Th\u1ee9 Hai n\u00f3ng n\u1ef1c, chi\u1ebfc xe 4×4 x\u1ecdc x\u1ea1ch c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang t\u00f4i r\u00edt b\u00e1nh d\u1eebng l\u1ea1i, ch\u00fang t\u00f4i b\u01b0\u1edbc ra gi\u1eefa m\u1ed9t m\u00e0n b\u1ee5i c\u00e1t nh\u1ecf. Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i ch\u1ec9 m\u1ea5t v\u00e0i gi\u00e2y \u2014 v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m tra nhanh tr\u00ean thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb GPS \u2014 \u0111\u1ec3 bi\u1ebft ch\u1eafc l\u00e0 ch\u00fang t\u00f4i t\u1edbi \u0111\u00fang ch\u1ed7. M\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfc xe kh\u00e1c kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1eadu tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng, m\u00e0 n\u1eb1m l\u1ec7ch sang ph\u1ea3i, l\u1eabn trong l\u00f9m c\u00e2y th\u1ea5p, nh\u1eefng c\u00e0nh c\u00e2y ph\u1ee7 ngang n\u00f3c v\u00e0 h\u00f4ng xe. Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00f2ng qua xe, v\u00e0 g\u00f5 v\u00e0o ph\u00eda sau xe.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ea1i t\u00e1 Eero Rebo, 42 tu\u1ed5i, nghi\u00eang ng\u01b0\u1eddi ra t\u1eeb ph\u00eda trong l\u1edd m\u1edd c\u00f3 kho\u1ea3ng s\u00e1u binh s\u0129 Estonia kh\u00e1c \u0111ang khom ng\u01b0\u1eddi quanh c\u00e1c radio v\u00e0 \u00e1nh s\u00e1ng xanh nh\u1ee3t nh\u1ea1t c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c m\u00e0n h\u00ecnh LCD. M\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ea1i t\u00e1 v\u1ebd ng\u1ee5y trang d\u00e0y \u0111\u1eb7c. \u00d4ng nh\u1ea3y xu\u1ed1ng, v\u00e0 ch\u00fang t\u00f4i \u0111i theo m\u1ed9t l\u1ed1i nh\u1ecf v\u00e0o r\u1eebng.<\/p>\n

\u201cCh\u00fang s\u1ebd d\u00f9ng thi\u1ebft gi\u00e1p \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch ch\u1ecdc th\u1ee7ng tr\u1eadn tuy\u1ebfn chi\u1ec1u nay,\u201d \u00f4ng n\u00f3i s\u01a1 l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ec1 k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh v\u1edbi v\u1ebb h\u01a1i th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng khi \u00f4ng nh\u00ecn c\u00e1i \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng minh t\u00f4i \u0111ang d\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 ghi \u00e2m cu\u1ed9c n\u00f3i chuy\u1ec7n (nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u). \u201cV\u00e0 t\u00f4i s\u1ebd d\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ecba h\u00ecnh \u2014 s\u00f4ng, r\u1eebng \u2014 \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1eb7n ch\u00fang. T\u00f4i s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0a ch\u00fang v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng v\u00f9ng m\u00e0 ch\u00fang y\u1ebfu nh\u01b0ng t\u00f4i m\u1ea1nh.\u201d<\/p>\n

C\u00f3 ti\u1ebfng r\u00ec r\u1ea7m c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 ph\u1ea3n l\u1ef1c \u1edf ph\u00eda tr\u00ean. \u0110\u1ea1i t\u00e1 Rebo b\u01b0\u1edbc lui, ng\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft nh\u00ecn l\u00ean, \u0111\u1ea1p qua c\u00e1c b\u1ee5i c\u00e2y vi\u1ec7t qu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 th\u1ea1ch nam \u0111\u1ec3 b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o ch\u1ed7 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c r\u1eebng che ch\u1eafn, k\u00e9o ch\u00fang t\u00f4i theo \u00f4ng. M\u00e1y bay \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfc F-16 c\u1ee7a B\u1ed3 \u0110\u00e0o Nha, \u0111ang d\u00f9ng b\u1ed9 c\u1ea3m bi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng d\u00f2 ra v\u1ecb tr\u00ed c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t ch\u1ed1t ch\u1ec9 huy. \u1ede g\u1ea7n m\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ea5t, h\u00e0ng ch\u1ee5c con mu\u1ed7i vo ve.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ea1i t\u00e1 Rebo n\u00f3i ti\u1ebfp, \u201cEstonia l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1ecf. Nh\u01b0ng ch\u00fang t\u00f4i m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi t\u01b0\u1edfng. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 x\u1ee9 s\u1edf th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 n\u01a1i t\u00f4i s\u1ebd chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u, v\u00e0 n\u01a1i c\u00e1c k\u1ebb th\u00f9 c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i s\u1ebd ch\u1ebft. T\u00f4i bi\u1ebft r\u00f5 t\u1eebng c\u00e2y c\u1ea7u, t\u1eebng con s\u00f4ng. T\u00f4i bi\u1ebft c\u1ea7n l\u00e0m g\u00ec \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1eb7n b\u1ecdn Nga.\u201d<\/p>\n

Kho\u1ea3ng 5.000 ng\u01b0\u1eddi Estonia, h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft l\u00e0 l\u00ednh tr\u1ebb \u0111i qu\u00e2n d\u1ecbch, \u0111\u00e3 d\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn trong v\u00e0i th\u00e1ng qua \u0111\u1ec3 hu\u1ea5n luy\u1ec7n chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb chi\u1ebfn tranh v\u1edbi Nga. H\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed9c. T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc B\u1eafc \u0110\u1ea1i t\u00e2y d\u01b0\u01a1ng (NATO, th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp n\u0103m 1949) \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 Kevadtorm (\u201cB\u00e3o Xu\u00e2n\u201d), cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra \u1edf c\u00e1c khu r\u1eebng v\u00e0 v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p d\u1ecdc bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi gi\u1eefa Estonia v\u00e0 Nga. Kho\u1ea3ng 1.000 qu\u00e2n t\u1eeb Latvia, Lithuania, \u0110\u1ee9c, H\u00e0 Lan, Anh v\u00e0 M\u1ef9, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 qu\u00e2n B\u1ed3 \u0110\u00e0o Nha v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u00e1y bay chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u, \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tri\u1ec3n khai t\u1edbi Estonia \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f9ng t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn, v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3ng vai k\u1ebb th\u00f9.<\/p>\n

Tr\u00ean kh\u1eafp v\u00f9ng Baltic, nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn kh\u00e1c \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn c\u1ee7a li\u00ean minh n\u00e0y. H\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 4, Latvia \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u201cL\u00e1 ch\u1eafn M\u00f9a h\u00e8\u201d v\u1edbi 1.100 qu\u00e2n. Khi Kevadtorm k\u1ebft th\u00fac, Lithuania b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u \u201cS\u00f3i S\u1eaft\u201d, v\u1edbi 5.000 qu\u00e2n. H\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 6, cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn \u201cNh\u00e1t Ki\u1ebfm\u201d c\u00f3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0n qu\u00e2n M\u1ef9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u00f4ng v\u1eadn t\u1edbi c\u1ea3 v\u00f9ng n\u00e0y. V\u00e0 \u1edf nh\u1eefng n\u01a1i kh\u00e1c c\u1ee7a Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn kh\u00e1c c\u00f2n l\u1edbn h\u01a1n. \u1ede Ba Lan, \u201cAnakonda\u201d, cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn v\u1edbi 31.000 qu\u00e2n \u2014 \u0111\u1ee3t tri\u1ec3n khai qu\u00e2n n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i tr\u00ean \u0111\u1ea5t Ba Lan \u0111\u00f4ng nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb sau \u0110\u1ec7 nh\u1ecb Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn \u2014 k\u1ebft th\u00fac v\u00e0i tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n v\u1ec1 s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng so v\u1edbi b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 y\u00ean \u1eafng trong 20 n\u0103m qua, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n kh\u00e1c v\u1ec1 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng. C\u00e1c qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa t\u00edch c\u1ef1c hu\u1ea5n luy\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec3 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho chi\u1ebfn tranh ngay tr\u00ean x\u1ee9 s\u1edf c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. Nhi\u1ec1u th\u1ebf h\u1ec7 binh l\u00ednh t\u1eebng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hu\u1ea5n luy\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh phi\u1ebfn qu\u00e2n \u1edf nh\u1eefng n\u01a1i xa x\u00f4i nay \u0111ang h\u1ecdc c\u00e1ch b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 qu\u00ea h\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 ph\u1ea7n m\u00ecnh, \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 h\u00f3a. H\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 5, b\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Nga Sergei Shoigu n\u00f3i v\u1edbi b\u00e1o gi\u1edbi r\u1eb1ng t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 6 t\u1edbi th\u00e1ng 10, Nga s\u1ebd t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c h\u01a1n 2.000 cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn l\u1edbn nh\u1ecf. Th\u1eadm ch\u00ed \u0111\u00e1ng lo ng\u1ea1i h\u01a1n cho NATO l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c di\u1ec5n t\u1eadp ch\u00f3ng v\u00e1nh \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00ean l\u1ecbch trong c\u00f9ng th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u00f3: nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c di\u1ec5n t\u1eadp huy \u0111\u1ed9ng nhanh m\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tri\u1ec3n khai h\u00e0ng ch\u1ee5c ng\u00e0n qu\u00e2n (v\u00ed d\u1ee5, m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c di\u1ec5n t\u1eadp n\u0103m 2015 c\u00f3 t\u1edbi 80.000 qu\u00e2n v\u00e0 12.000 xe) \u2014 \u1edf g\u1ea7n c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00f9ng Baltic, \u1edf v\u00f9ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 ph\u00eda t\u00e2y c\u1ee7a Nga.<\/p>\n

Gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng, c\u00e1c c\u01a1 quan t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o, gi\u1edbi ngo\u1ea1i giao v\u00e0 gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 \u2014 v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng bi\u1ebft ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c l\u00e0 n\u00ean ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng ra sao tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u2014 m\u1ed9t c\u1ed7 m\u00e1y qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 Nga m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin mu\u1ed1n kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c uy danh v\u00e0 l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 h\u1edbn h\u1edf ph\u00f4 tr\u01b0\u01a1ng l\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1. C\u00f3 l\u1ebd c\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e1ng lo ng\u1ea1i h\u01a1n, d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng r\u1ed9ng gi\u1eefa \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 gi\u1edbi k\u1ef9 tr\u1ecb an ninh c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y lo s\u1ee3 v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 h\u1ecd chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3, v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang hi\u1ec3u g\u00ec v\u1ec1 m\u1ed1i nguy m\u00e0 Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u2014 ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u2014 g\u00e2y ra.<\/p>\n

\"C\u00e1c
C\u00e1c tr\u1ef1c th\u0103ng AH-64 Apache trong di\u1ec5n t\u1eadp chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u cho cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn Nh\u00e1t Ki\u1ebfm (\u1ea2nh: Andrejs Strokins)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u2026<\/p>\n

Kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed9t tu\u1ea7n n\u1eefa, \u0111\u1eb1ng sau nhi\u1ec1u l\u1edbp r\u00e0o ch\u1eafn an ninh v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3n b\u1ed1t qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 b\u1edfi h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0n qu\u00e2n tr\u00ean b\u1ed9, m\u00e1y bay tr\u00ean kh\u00f4ng v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch ph\u1ea3n gi\u00e1n l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y s\u1ebd h\u1ecdp trong m\u1ed9t c\u00e1i l\u1ec1u tr\u1eafng kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 gi\u1eefa s\u00e2n v\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u1ed1c gia c\u1ee7a Warsaw, th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 Ba Lan, trong h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh hai n\u0103m m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a NATO, cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a li\u00ean minh n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

T\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u1ee7a an ninh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ch\u01b0a bao gi\u1edd \u1edf th\u1ebf ch\u1ec9 m\u00e0nh treo chu\u00f4ng h\u01a1n hi\u1ec7n nay. L\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba n\u00e0y c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u n\u01b0\u1edbc y\u1ebfu ho\u1eb7c \u0111ang s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 bao quanh bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, c\u00f2n n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 \u0111ang r\u1ed1i b\u1eddi v\u00ec t\u00e2m l\u00fd b\u1ea5t m\u00e3n ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng tr\u00ec tr\u1ec7 kinh t\u1ebf ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng. Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a V\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c Anh chia tay v\u1edbi Li\u00ean hi\u1ec7p Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (EU), ch\u1ec9 m\u1edbi 10 ng\u00e0y tr\u01b0\u1edbc, l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n ch\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ed9ng. Nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi trong s\u1ed1 nh\u1eefng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c gia h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a NATO tin r\u1eb1ng c\u00e0ng c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u ph\u00e2n h\u00f3a ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u1edf Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u th\u00ec Nga c\u00e0ng l\u1ee3i. Theo m\u1ed9t chuy\u00ean gia ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y v\u1ec1 Kremlin \u2014 m\u1ed9t quan ch\u1ee9c t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o cao c\u1ea5p c\u1ee7a NATO, t\u1ea7m nh\u00ecn \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a Nga l\u00e0 g\u00e2y chia r\u1ebd NATO, v\u0129nh vi\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Anh \u1edf Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0a l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba n\u00e0y v\u00e0o qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea1o ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Nga.<\/p>\n

V\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh n\u0103m 2014, di\u1ec5n ra t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t khu du l\u1ecbch s\u00e2n golf \u1edf Newport, Wales, cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u1ea5n Crimea c\u1ee7a Nga v\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn l\u00e9n l\u00fat \u1edf mi\u1ec1n \u0111\u00f4ng Ukraine ch\u1ec9 m\u1edbi x\u1ea3y ra v\u00e0i th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. M\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p v\u1ed9i v\u00e3 nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ea7y tham v\u1ecdng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn \u0111\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a li\u00ean minh t\u1ea1i Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb Warsaw n\u0103m nay s\u1ebd ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t chuy\u1ec3n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3. Jens Stoltenberg, c\u1ef1u th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Na Uy v\u00e0 nay l\u00e0 t\u1ed5ng th\u01b0 k\u00fd NATO (l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o d\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a li\u00ean minh n\u00e0y), n\u00f3i, \u201cNATO kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi Nga. H\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang t\u00f4i t\u01b0\u01a1ng x\u1ee9ng v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh, c\u00f3 t\u00ednh ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 v\u00e0 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ngh\u0129a v\u1ee5 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang t\u00f4i.\u201d Nh\u1eefng ngh\u0129a v\u1ee5 \u0111\u00f3 bao g\u1ed3m m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t c\u00e1c hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc v\u1edbi Nga th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 h\u1eadu chi\u1ebfn tranh l\u1ea1nh \u2014 ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc 1990 v\u1ec1 C\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Quy \u01b0\u1edbc \u1edf Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, \u0110\u1ea1o lu\u1eadt Th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp NATO-Nga n\u0103m 1997 v\u00e0 V\u0103n ki\u1ec7n Vienna, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gia h\u1ea1n l\u1ea7n g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2011 \u2014 c\u1ea5m tri\u1ec3n khai qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u1edf Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 c\u00e1c bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi v\u1edbi Nga \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh s\u1ef1 t\u00e1i qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 h\u00f3a nguy hi\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.<\/p>\n

\u201cChi\u1ebfn tranh l\u1ea1nh l\u00e0 qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9 v\u00e0 ch\u00fang t\u00f4i mu\u1ed1n n\u00f3 v\u1eabn l\u00e0 qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9,\u201d Stoltenberg n\u00f3i khi ch\u00fang t\u00f4i d\u00f9ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea trong v\u0103n ph\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng \u1edf Brussels. B\u00ean ngo\u00e0i, nh\u1eefng c\u1ea7n c\u1ea9u \u0111ang chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb d\u1eddi ng\u00f4i sao NATO \u2014 t\u00e1c ph\u1ea9m \u0111i\u00eau kh\u1eafc b\u1eb1ng th\u00e9p kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n bi\u1ec3u t\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c n\u00e0y \u2014 t\u1eeb v\u1ecb tr\u00ed hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 \u1edf s\u00e2n ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5ng h\u00e0nh dinh c\u0169 sang t\u00f2a nh\u00e0 m\u1edbi b\u1eb1ng k\u00ednh r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn, tr\u1ee5 s\u1edf t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u1ee7a c\u1ee7a NATO, \u1edf b\u00ean kia \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

\u0110ang l\u00e2m v\u00e0o th\u1ebf l\u01b0\u1ee1ng nan v\u1eeba c\u1ea7n kh\u1eafc ph\u1ee5c nh\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec3m qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u1edf ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng (NATO ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a qu\u00e2n li\u00ean minh \u0111\u00f3ng \u1edf n\u01a1i kh\u00e1c ngo\u00e0i \u0110\u1ee9c) v\u00e0 v\u1eeba c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 c\u00e0ng ch\u1ecdc t\u1ee9c Nga v\u00e0 k\u00e8m theo \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng c\u00f3 xung \u0111\u1ed9t th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1, li\u00ean minh n\u00e0y \u0111ang th\u1ea5y kh\u00f3 n\u00f3i r\u00f5 v\u1ec1 b\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1ebf t\u1eafc hi\u1ec7n nay v\u1edbi Nga.<\/p>\n

\"L\u00ednh
L\u00ednh M\u1ef9 b\u1eafn t\u00ean l\u1eeda ch\u1ed1ng t\u0103ng Javelin trong di\u1ec5n t\u1eadp chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u cho cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn Nh\u00e1t Ki\u1ebfm (\u1ea2nh: Andrejs Strokins)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

T\u1ed5ng th\u01b0 k\u00fd Stoltenberg n\u00f3i ti\u1ebfp, \u201cCh\u00fang t\u00f4i hi\u1ec7n kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 chi\u1ebfn tranh l\u1ea1nh, m\u00e0 c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u00e0 ch\u00fang t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp v\u00e0o l\u00fac k\u1ebft th\u00fac chi\u1ebfn tranh l\u1ea1nh. V\u00ec v\u1eady ch\u00fang t\u00f4i \u0111ang \u1edf trong m\u1ed9t t\u00ecnh th\u1ebf m\u1edbi. Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i \u0111ang trong m\u1ed9t b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh m\u00e0 ch\u00fang t\u00f4i ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng tr\u1ea3i qua.\u201d Tuy nhi\u00ean, nh\u01b0 \u00f4ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh, li\u00ean minh \u0111ang ph\u1ee7i b\u1ee5i xem l\u1ea1i nhi\u1ec1u k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch trong nh\u1eefng k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 \u2014 t\u1eeb c\u00e1ch ch\u1eb7n nh\u1eefng ti\u1ec3u \u0111o\u00e0n xe t\u0103ng kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 c\u1ee7a Nga khi ch\u00fang l\u0103n x\u00edch kh\u1eafp c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng b\u1eb1ng ph\u1eb3ng c\u1ee7a Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u t\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ho\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 t\u00ednh m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a \u2014 m\u00e0 l\u1ea7n g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ea5y \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng l\u00e0 trong th\u1eadp ni\u00ean 1980, v\u00e0 \u00edt nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 r\u00fat ra nh\u1eefng b\u00e0i h\u1ecdc t\u1eeb ch\u00fang, n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng sao ch\u00e9p ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u00e1c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n

T\u1ed5ng th\u01b0 k\u00fd Stoltenberg cho bi\u1ebft h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh Warsaw s\u1ebd ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn NATO tr\u1ea3i qua \u201cs\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh th\u00edch \u1ee9ng l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t \u2026\u2009s\u1ef1 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t vi\u1ec7c ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 t\u1eadp th\u1ec3 c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang t\u00f4i\u201d k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi chi\u1ebfn tranh l\u1ea1nh k\u1ebft th\u00fac. Nh\u01b0ng, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 t\u1ef1 tin n\u00e0y, s\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e0n k\u1ebft ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a li\u00ean minh \u0111ang b\u1ecb th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c b\u1edfi s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n h\u00f3a \u0111\u00e1ng ng\u1ea1c nhi\u00ean c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c quan \u0111i\u1ec3m b\u00ean trong li\u00ean minh. C\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean \u0110\u00f4ng \u00c2u c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t n\u1ed7i s\u1ee3 g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 theo b\u1ea3n n\u0103ng v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c \u00fd \u0111\u1ed3 c\u1ee7a \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin; c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean Nam \u00c2u b\u1eadn t\u00e2m v\u1ec1 cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng di tr\u00fa \u0110\u1ecba Trung H\u1ea3i; M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Anh c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 \u1ea3m \u0111\u1ea1m gi\u1ed1ng nhau v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 c\u1ee7a Vladimir Putin v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 hi\u1ec7n nay \u00f4ng \u0111ang b\u1ecb k\u1eb9t tr\u00ean con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng hi\u1ebfu chi\u1ebfn do nh\u1eefng ho\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh t\u1ef1 \u00f4ng g\u00e2y ra; trong khi \u0111\u00f3 \u0110\u1ee9c, v\u1edbi gi\u1edbi ngo\u1ea1i giao \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u1ebft l\u00e0 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 g\u1ea7n g\u0169i nh\u1ea5t v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Nga, lo ng\u1ea1i r\u1eb1ng NATO \u0111ang b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t tr\u00f2 th\u00e1u c\u00e1y qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 h\u1ebft s\u1ee9c v\u00f4 tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m.<\/p>\n

\"europe-map\"<\/p>\n

H\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 5, khi qu\u00e2n M\u1ef9 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u1ea3y d\u00f9 v\u00e0o ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng cho cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn \u201cNh\u00e1t Ki\u1ebfm\u201d, ngo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng Frank-Walter Steinmeier ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn n\u00e0y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t tr\u00f2 \u201cgi\u1ec5u v\u00f5 d\u01b0\u01a1ng oai\u201d \u201ctai h\u1ea1i\u201d, m\u1ed9t \u201cti\u1ebfng h\u00f4 xung tr\u1eadn\u201d. N\u1ebfu ng\u00f4n t\u1eeb c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng \u2014 nh\u1eafm th\u1eb3ng v\u00e0o Washington DC \u2014 thi\u1ebfu ngo\u1ea1i giao m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch l\u1ea1 th\u01b0\u1eddng, c\u00f3 l\u1ebd l\u00e0 v\u00ec, \u1edf \u0110\u1ee9c v\u00e0 n\u01a1i kh\u00e1c, nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7i lo s\u1ee3 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i s\u1ebd v\u01b0\u1ee3t ra kh\u1ecfi t\u1ea7m ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111ang qu\u00e1 cao \u0111\u1ed9. Vi\u1ec7c NATO xoay tr\u1ee5c tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng b\u00ecnh nguy\u00ean v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng khu r\u1eebng c\u1ee7a \u0110\u00f4ng \u00c2u ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn \u0111\u00e3 di\u1ec5n ra qu\u00e1 ch\u00f3ng v\u00e1nh.<\/p>\n

\u2026<\/p>\n

K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb sau cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng Balkan v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u1eadp ni\u00ean 1990 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c v\u1ee5 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 11\/9 \u1edf New York, ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ch\u00e2m kh\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a NATO \u2014 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i v\u00f4 s\u1ed1 l\u1ea7n b\u00ean trong li\u00ean minh \u2014 l\u00e0 \u201ckh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n n\u01a1i n\u00e0o ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n vi\u1ec7c g\u00ec\u201d, m\u1ed9t l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o quan ni\u1ec7m cho r\u1eb1ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n g\u00ec \u1edf Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ho\u1eb7c B\u1eafc \u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ec3 NATO ph\u1ea3i lo.<\/p>\n

NATO d\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn th\u1eadp ni\u00ean 1990 \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt quy m\u00f4 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh tr\u00ean l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba n\u00e0y: nh\u1eefng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng d\u00e2y b\u1eaby c\u0169 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00e1o g\u1ee1; binh l\u00ednh t\u1eeb c\u00e1c c\u0103n c\u1ee9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a v\u1ec1 n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb chi\u1ebfn tranh \u0111\u00e1nh b\u1ed9 t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1ebfp l\u1ea1i. Sau n\u0103m 2001, c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean li\u00ean minh d\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn th\u1eadp ni\u00ean ti\u1ebfp theo t\u00e1i hu\u1ea5n luy\u1ec7n qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ec3 tri\u1ec3n khai \u1edf Afghanistan v\u00e0 Iraq c\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0n c\u00e2y s\u1ed1. Tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn ch\u1ed1ng phi\u1ebfn qu\u00e2n, ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc. Nh\u01b0ng t\u1ed5ng th\u01b0 k\u00fd th\u1eddi \u0111\u00f3 Jaap de Hoop Scheffer n\u00f3i v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2006: \u201c[Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i] \u0111\u00e3 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng ph\u1ea1m vi chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh ra kh\u1ecfi Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u r\u1ea5t xa, v\u00e0 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1, ch\u1ed1ng kh\u1ee7ng b\u1ed1 ngay t\u1ea1i ngu\u1ed3n, hi\u1ec7n nay l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ee9 m\u1ec7nh ch\u00ednh.\u201d T\u1edbi n\u0103m 2010 t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 28 n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean NATO \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 qu\u00e2n \u1edf Afghanistan \u2014 t\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng 120.000 qu\u00e2n.<\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0 th\u1ec3 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta \u0111\u00e3 nh\u1eafm m\u1eaft l\u00e0m ng\u01a1 tr\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i h\u00f3a qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 c\u1ee7a Nga \u2014 bao g\u1ed3m k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch chi ti\u00eau 20 ng\u00e0n t\u1ef7 r\u00fap cho trang thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb t\u00e2n ti\u1ebfn t\u1eeb nay t\u1edbi n\u0103m 2020. T\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh c\u1ee7a NATO \u1edf Lisbon n\u0103m 2010, \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed quan h\u1ec7 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c, v\u1edbi \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin v\u1eabn l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t m\u1ee5c ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh ngh\u1ecb s\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn nghi\u00eam t\u00fac. B\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u ta th\u00e1n n\u1ea3y l\u1eeda ch\u1ed1ng NATO v\u00e0 Washington do T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Putin tr\u00ecnh b\u00e0y \u1edf Munich n\u0103m 2007, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u1ea5n Georgia c\u1ee7a Nga n\u0103m 2008, d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng nguy\u00ean c\u1edb nghi\u00eam t\u00fac \u0111\u00e1ng lo ng\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u1ea5n Ukraine n\u0103m 2013 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 th\u1ee9c t\u1ec9nh \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. V\u00e0 ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Nga v\u1eabn t\u0103ng l\u00ean. Ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch n\u00e0y l\u00e0 70 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4la v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2013; theo d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a h\u00e3ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng IHS Jane, t\u1edbi n\u0103m 2016 con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y t\u0103ng l\u00ean t\u1edbi 100 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4la. Th\u1eadt v\u1eady, d\u00f9 kinh t\u1ebf Nga \u0111ang kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n, nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch v\u1ec1 Nga nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i, v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i trong vi\u1ec7c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 t\u00e2m l\u00fd d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng, \u0111ang ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c n\u1eafm gi\u1eef quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Putin.<\/p>\n

Ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a NATO tr\u01b0\u1edbc chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch Ukraine c\u1ee7a Nga cho t\u1edbi nay xoay quanh ba th\u00e0nh t\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u1edf h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh Wales. Th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t, th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp m\u1ed9t \u201cL\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng H\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng Ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p C\u00f3 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng R\u1ea5t cao\u201d [VJTF], c\u00f2n g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 \u201cm\u0169i nh\u1ecdn\u201d, m\u1ed9t l\u1eef \u0111o\u00e0n 5.000 qu\u00e2n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tri\u1ec3n khai \u0111\u1ec3 x\u1eed l\u00fd c\u00e1c t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng trong v\u00f2ng 48 gi\u1edd. Th\u1ee9 hai, t\u0103ng g\u1ea5p \u0111\u00f4i qu\u00e2n s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a NATO, l\u00ean t\u1edbi 40.000 qu\u00e2n. V\u00e0 th\u1ee9 ba, m\u1ed9t g\u00f3i c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u1ec3 \u201ctr\u1ea5n an\u201d c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0110\u00f4ng \u00c2u b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn, v\u00e0 t\u0103ng s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a NATO t\u1ea1i l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 l\u1eadp c\u00e1c tr\u1ea1m chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1edbc g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 \u201cC\u00e1c \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb T\u00edch h\u1ee3p L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng NATO\u201d \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i cho vi\u1ec7c tri\u1ec3n khai l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng VJTF trong c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ea3m tr\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd, n\u1ebfu l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea7n t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh n\u0103m 2014 \u1edf Wales t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o t\u0103ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a NATO, nh\u01b0ng tr\u00e1nh n\u00e9 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 cho th\u00eam qu\u00e2n \u0111\u00f3ng th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1ef1c \u1edf \u0110\u00f4ng \u00c2u. C\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean \u0110\u00f4ng \u00c2u c\u1ee7a NATO th\u00fac gi\u1ee5c \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p nh\u01b0 v\u1eady nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c ti\u1ebfng n\u00f3i \u00f4n h\u00f2a trong li\u00ean minh cho r\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd qu\u00e1 khi\u00eau kh\u00edch v\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00f3. H\u1ecd cho r\u1eb1ng NATO n\u00ean duy tr\u00ec chu\u1ea9n m\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ee9c cao v\u00e0 gi\u1eef c\u00e1c l\u1eddi h\u1ee9a qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf m\u00e0 li\u00ean minh \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a ra. \u0110\u1ea1o lu\u1eadt Th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp NATO-Nga n\u0103m 1997 \u2014 m\u1ed9t v\u0103n ki\u1ec7n bu\u1ed9c c\u1ea3 Moscow v\u00e0 li\u00ean minh cam k\u1ebft gi\u1eef \u201ch\u00f2a b\u00ecnh l\u00e2u d\u00e0i v\u00e0 tr\u1ecdn v\u1eb9n\u201d \u1edf Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u2014 quy \u0111\u1ecbnh: \u201cNATO nh\u1eafc l\u1ea1i r\u1eb1ng trong m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng an ninh hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u00e0 trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u00ean li\u1ec7u, li\u00ean minh s\u1ebd th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 t\u1eadp th\u1ec3 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh v\u00e0 c\u00e1c s\u1ee9 m\u1ec7nh kh\u00e1c b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng h\u1ee3p, s\u1ef1 t\u00edch h\u1ee3p v\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng vi\u1ec7n c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft thay v\u00ec b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch t\u0103ng s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00f3ng qu\u00e2n th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u quan tr\u1ecdng.\u201d<\/p>\n

\"Kh\u00f3i
Kh\u00f3i t\u00edm cho bi\u1ebft v\u1ecb tr\u00ed c\u1ee7a qu\u00e2n trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c di\u1ec5n t\u1eadp chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u. (\u1ea2nh: Andrejs Strokins)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u1ede Warsaw, c\u00e1ch l\u00fd gi\u1ea3i \u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd b\u1ecb l\u1ea1m d\u1ee5ng. H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh s\u1ebd t\u00e1n th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh do c\u00e1c b\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a NATO \u0111\u01b0a ra h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 5 \u1edf Brussels v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c s\u1ebd cho 3.000 t\u1edbi 4.000 qu\u00e2n NATO, trong b\u1ed1n ti\u1ec3u \u0111o\u00e0n \u2014 m\u1ed9t M\u1ef9, m\u1ed9t Anh, m\u1ed9t Canada v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0110\u1ee9c \u2014 \u0111\u00f3ng \u1edf ba n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00f9ng Baltic v\u00e0 Ba Lan tr\u00ean c\u01a1 s\u1edf \u201cl\u00e2u d\u00e0i\u201d (\u201cpersistent\u201d). Gi\u1edbi ch\u1ee9c NATO l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a ch\u1ea1m t\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u201cquan tr\u1ecdng\u201d (\u201csubstantial\u201d) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh ngh\u0129a trong \u0110\u1ea1o lu\u1eadt Th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp n\u0103m 1997. Theo h\u1ecd, m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng \u201cd\u00e2y b\u1eaby\u201d ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n \u2014 nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ee3t tri\u1ec3n khai \u0111\u1ee7 qu\u00e2n s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a Nga can thi\u1ec7p v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 leo thang nhanh ch\u00f3ng.<\/p>\n

Witold Waszczykowski, ngo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng Ba Lan n\u00f3i, \u201cCh\u00fang t\u00f4i ph\u1ea3i ngh\u0129 xa h\u01a1n [h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb] Wales. T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n. Nh\u1eefng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u1edf Wales kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m an ninh. Nh\u1eefng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u1edf Warsaw s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn h\u01a1n. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda sinh t\u1ed3n cho c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00f9ng Baltic \u2026 th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t.\u201d<\/p>\n

Qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Nga c\u00f3 c\u00e1ch nh\u00ecn nh\u1eadn kh\u00e1 kh\u00e1c v\u1ec1 l\u1ecbch s\u1eed qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a NATO. H\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 5-2014, Valery Gerasimov, t\u1ed5ng tham m\u01b0u tr\u01b0\u1edfng Nga, khi ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u \u1edf H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb An ninh Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf Moscow \u0111\u00e3 thuy\u1ebft tr\u00ecnh chi ti\u1ebft v\u1ec1 \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 \u00f4ng g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 thuy\u1ebft \u201cc\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c c\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng m\u00e0u\u201d \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y. \u00d4ng k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c NATO t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng \u1edf c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00f9ng Baltic v\u00e0 Ba Lan l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c c\u1edd l\u1edbn h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd b\u00e0nh tr\u01b0\u1edbng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a li\u00ean minh n\u00e0y \u1edf Ukraine v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ng\u1ea7m hi\u1ec3u l\u00e0 \u1edf ch\u00ednh Nga. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ee7a T\u01b0\u1edbng Gerasimov \u2014 m\u00e0 nay chi ph\u1ed1i t\u01b0 t\u01b0\u1edfng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u1edf \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin \u2014 ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1eeb lu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec7u \u0111\u00e3 b\u00e9n r\u1ec5 s\u00e2u b\u00ean trong gi\u1edbi ch\u00f3p bu v\u1ec1 an ninh c\u1ee7a Nga v\u1ec1 NATO v\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y.<\/p>\n

Theo lu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec7u n\u00e0y, v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean X\u00f4 do b\u00e0n tay c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, t\u1ed5 h\u1ee3p qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch bu\u1ed9c nh\u1eefng n\u01a1i kh\u00e1c tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi quy ph\u1ee5c tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u00fd ch\u00ed kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y. Trong nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp sau n\u0103m 1990, NATO v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e3 hi\u1ec7u ch\u1ec9nh m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u1ec1 \u201cthay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9\u201d \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1eadt \u0111\u1ed5 ho\u1eb7c g\u00e2y b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n cho nh\u1eefng ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 kh\u00f4ng tu\u00e2n theo c\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y. Theo c\u00e1ch nh\u00ecn n\u00e0y, Kosovo, Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya v\u00e0 M\u00f9a xu\u00e2n \u1ea2 r\u1eadp l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i li\u00ean t\u1ee5c. T\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 v\u1eady l\u00e0 c\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng Hoa h\u1ed3ng \u1edf Georgia (2003), c\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng Cam \u1edf Ukraine (2004), c\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng xanh l\u1ee5c \u1edf Iran (2009) v\u00e0 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 n\u1ed9i chi\u1ebfn Syria.<\/p>\n

\"L\u00ednh
L\u00ednh Latvia tham gia trong cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn Tapa. (\u1ea2nh: Andrejs Strokins)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u2026<\/p>\n

Sir Richard Shirreff, v\u1ecb t\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1eebng l\u00e0 ph\u00f3 t\u01b0 l\u1ec7nh \u0111\u1ed3ng minh t\u1ed1i cao t\u1edbi n\u0103m 2014 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng NATO \u1edf Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, n\u00f3i, \u201cCh\u00fang ta v\u1eabn trong tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i ph\u1ee7 nh\u1eadn\u2026 Ch\u00fang ta kh\u00f4ng \u1edf trong th\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn tranh l\u1ea1nh nh\u01b0ng ch\u00fang ta c\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n m\u1edbi m\u00e0 ch\u00fang ta ph\u1ea3i th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf v\u1ec1 n\u00f3. \u0110i\u1ec1u Putin \u0111ang th\u1ea5y l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb\u2009\u2026\u2009c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc tr\u00ean kh\u1eafp Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c d\u00f9 hi\u1ec7n kh\u00f4ng s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng l\u00e0m \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 NATO \u0111\u00e3 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng l\u00e0m trong th\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn tranh l\u1ea1nh. To\u00e0n b\u1ed9 quan ni\u1ec7m ng\u0103n ng\u1eeba l\u00fac \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc k\u1ef9 c\u00e0ng \u2026\u2009Nay, nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang ta kh\u00e1 y\u1ebfu \u1edbt.\u201d<\/p>\n

Cu\u1ed1n s\u00e1ch m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a t\u01b0\u1edbng Gen Shirreff, War with Russia<\/i> (Chi\u1ebfn tranh v\u1edbi Nga<\/i>) \u2014 m\u1ed9t t\u00e1c ph\u1ea9m h\u01b0 c\u1ea5u c\u00f3 \u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e0ng ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh trung th\u1ef1c th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u00e0ng t\u1ed1t \u2014 ch\u1eb3ng b\u1ed9c l\u1ed9 nghi ng\u1edd g\u00ec trong \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 kh\u00e1 \u1ea3m \u0111\u1ea1m c\u1ee7a v\u1ecb t\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e0y v\u1ec1 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1ebf t\u1eafc hi\u1ec7n nay v\u1edbi Nga v\u00e0 h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i m\u00e0 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng n\u00e0y \u0111ang d\u1eabn d\u1eaft ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y. Theo \u00f4ng, c\u00e2u tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi duy nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 c\u1ee7a s\u01b0\u1eddn ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a NATO. \u201c[Ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga] xem th\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ef1 y\u1ebfu \u0111u\u1ed1i. Th\u1ea5y ch\u1ed7 n\u00e0o c\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 h\u1ecd c\u1ee9 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u0103m d\u00f2 n\u00f3 nh\u01b0 ch\u1ecdc v\u00e0o gi\u1eefa t\u00e2m mi\u1ebfng k\u1eb9o d\u1ebbo x\u1ed1p. Trong b\u1ea5t c\u1ee9 ho\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh n\u00e0o ch\u00fang ta c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i th\u00edch h\u1ee3p ch\u00fang ta c\u1ea7n c\u00f3 c\u00e1ch ng\u0103n ng\u1eeba \u0111\u00e1ng tin.\u201d<\/p>\n

S\u1ef1 \u0111\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e1m c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed1n War with Russia <\/i>\u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y ph\u1eabn n\u1ed9 v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh cu\u1ed1n s\u00e1ch n\u00e0y. Khi d\u1ef1 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp c\u1ee7a NATO \u1edf Brussels h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 5, ngo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng V\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c Anh Philip Hammond ph\u00ea ph\u00e1n T\u01b0\u1edbng Shirreff v\u1ec1 h\u00e0nh vi \u201cph\u00e1 r\u1ed1i\u201d v\u00e0 ch\u00ea bai cu\u1ed1n s\u00e1ch ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 th\u1ee9 gi\u1eadt g\u00e2n r\u1ebb ti\u1ec1n: \u201cT\u00f4i ngh\u0129 ch\u1eb3ng c\u00f3 ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u00e0o nghi\u00eam t\u00fac l\u1ea1i ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng ki\u1ec3u k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n m\u00e0 \u00f4ng ta gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00f3 t\u00ed g\u00ec kh\u1ea3 d\u0129.\u201d (V\u1ecb ngo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng n\u00e0y c\u00f3 hi\u1ec1m kh\u00edch t\u1eeb l\u00e2u v\u1edbi T\u01b0\u1edbng Gen Shirreff: n\u0103m 2014, khi Hammond l\u00e0 b\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng V\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c Anh, T\u01b0\u1edbng Shirreff ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch c\u00e1c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng.) [Gi\u1eefa th\u00e1ng 7, t\u00e2n th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Theresa May \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ed5 nhi\u1ec7m d\u00e2n bi\u1ec3u Boris Johnson, c\u1ef1u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1edfng London, l\u00e0m ngo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng. N.D.]<\/p>\n

Hammond kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi c\u00f3 ti\u1ebfng m\u1ec1m m\u1ecfng v\u1edbi Nga. (Th\u1ef1c ra, m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i giao cao c\u1ea5p c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch s\u1ef1 hi\u1ebfu chi\u1ebfn \u201ckh\u00f4ng ng\u1eebng\u201d c\u1ee7a V\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c Anh b\u1ea5t c\u1ee9 khi n\u00e0o v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 Nga xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n trong b\u00e0n ngh\u1ecb s\u1ef1 h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.) Tuy nhi\u00ean, theo ph\u00e1n \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng, h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh Warsaw c\u00f3 v\u1ebb nh\u01b0 s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p l\u00fd. \u201c\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1edd ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7\u2009\u2026\u2009Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i mu\u1ed1n tri\u1ec3n khai tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t quy m\u00f4 m\u00e0 t\u00ednh t\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1t t\u1edbi m\u1ed9t l\u1eef \u0111o\u00e0n [4.000 t\u1edbi 5.000 qu\u00e2n]. B\u1ea5t c\u1ee9 quy m\u00f4 n\u00e0o nh\u1ecf h\u01a1n v\u1eady s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7, c\u00f2n l\u1edbn h\u01a1n th\u00ec c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb hi\u1ec3u sai l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u00e2y h\u1ea5n.\u201d<\/p>\n

Tuy v\u1eady \u2014 trong h\u00e0ng ch\u1ee5c cu\u1ed9c ph\u1ecfng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n cho b\u00e0i b\u00e1o n\u00e0y, c\u1ea3 ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u00f3 ghi \u00e2m l\u1eabn kh\u00f4ng ghi \u00e2m, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 cao c\u1ea5p \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng nhi\u1ec7m b\u00ean trong li\u00ean minh n\u00e0y c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i giao d\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 quan ch\u1ee9c t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o \u2014 ch\u00ednh \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 bi quan h\u01a1n c\u1ee7a T\u01b0\u1edbng Shirreff nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u00ecnh nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a quan \u0111i\u1ec3m qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 ch\u00ednh th\u1ed1ng hi\u1ec7n nay trong NATO. Trung t\u01b0\u1edbng Jonas Vytautas Zukas, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Lithuania, n\u00f3i: \u201cCh\u00fang ta kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n c\u00e1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac cho th\u1eddi b\u00ecnh n\u1eefa. Ch\u00fang ta \u0111ang t\u1ea1o ra c\u00e1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac cho th\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn.\u201d<\/p>\n

Lithuania t\u00e1i \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng qu\u00e2n d\u1ecbch h\u1ed3i n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i. Ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y t\u0103ng 30 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m trong n\u0103m 2015, v\u00e0 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2016. To\u00e0n b\u1ed9 qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed3i sinh v\u00e0 c\u1ea3i t\u1ed5. \u1ede v\u00f9ng Baltic, ngay tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1eeda n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga, v\u00e0 n\u1eb1m trong c\u00e1i b\u00f3ng c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t l\u1ecbch s\u1eed l\u00e2u \u0111\u1eddi v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eabm m\u00e1u, m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3m nh\u1eadn r\u00f5 nh\u1ea5t. Nh\u01b0ng n\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t n\u1ed7i lo s\u1ee3 ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 v\u00f9ng n\u00e0y m\u1edbi th\u1ea5y. \u0110\u1ea1i t\u00e1 Jakob Sogard Larsen, ch\u1ec9 huy ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0110an M\u1ea1ch c\u1ee7a \u201c\u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb t\u00edch h\u1ee3p\u201d c\u1ee7a NATO \u1edf Lithuania, n\u00f3i, \u201cTa th\u1ea5y m\u1ecdi vi\u1ec7c kh\u00e1c h\u1eb3n \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y. [S\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n gia t\u0103ng] c\u1ee7a NATO \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 m\u1edf mang nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ea7u \u00f3c. Ta c\u1ea3m nh\u1eadn l\u00e0 Nga kh\u00f3 ti\u00ean \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng minh b\u1ea1ch. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y lo s\u1ee3 \u2026\u2009\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi NATO, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 ch\u00fang ta c\u1ea7n h\u1ecdc l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 suy ngh\u0129 l\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 chi\u1ebfn tranh to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n. C\u00f3 ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u00ean \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c? C\u00f3 ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ec7 nh\u1ecb th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u00ean \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c?\u201d<\/p>\n

Theo \u0110\u1ea1i t\u00e1 Larsen, m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch l\u00e0 t\u1ea1o n\u00ean c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p ng\u0103n ng\u1eeba c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n \u0111\u1ec3 chi\u1ebfn tranh ngay t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u kh\u00f4ng x\u1ea3y ra. V\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 t\u00edn nhi\u1ec7m.<\/p>\n

Theo m\u1ed9t quan ch\u1ee9c cao c\u1ea5p Ng\u0169 Gi\u00e1c \u0110\u00e0i c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u0111\u00e1ng quan ng\u1ea1i nh\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 chuy\u1ec7n Nga cho h\u00e0ng \u0111o\u00e0n xe t\u0103ng l\u0103n b\u00e1nh kh\u1eafp v\u00f9ng Baltic trong m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u1ea5t l\u1ed9 li\u1ec5u. N\u1ed7i lo s\u1ee3 trong nhi\u1ec1u c\u01a1 quan t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o v\u00e0 b\u1ed9 qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y l\u00e0 Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n sai. Ch\u1ee7 thuy\u1ebft qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin \u2014 m\u00e0 trong v\u00e0i n\u0103m qua \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o c\u00e1c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch ph\u00e1 ho\u1ea1i v\u00e0 khi\u00eau kh\u00edch NATO \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n c\u1ea9n th\u1eadn \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 v\u1eeba \u1edf m\u1ee9c ngay d\u01b0\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u1ee7a \u0110i\u1ec1u 5 c\u1ee7a NATO, \u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n \u201cm\u1ecdi ng\u01b0\u1eddi v\u00ec m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi v\u00ec m\u1ecdi ng\u01b0\u1eddi\u201d g\u00e2y ra chi\u1ebfn tranh c\u00f4ng khai \u2014 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 t\u00e1c d\u1ee5ng ng\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00ec khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch m\u1ed9t h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u00e0 NATO kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n tin l\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tha th\u1ee9.<\/p>\n

Trong m\u1ed9t chuy\u1ebfn t\u1edbi Warsaw g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, t\u00f4i d\u00f9ng b\u1eefa t\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t quan ch\u1ee9c t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o Ba Lan, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 n\u00eau ra m\u1ed9t k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n \u00e1c m\u1ed9ng. Th\u1eed t\u01b0\u1edfng t\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng tr\u1ef1c tuy\u1ebfn v\u00f4 danh, g\u00e2y b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o Estonia (c\u1ea3 qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng nh\u1eadn d\u1ea1ng v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc b\u1eb1ng k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt s\u1ed1 duy nh\u1ea5t g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 X-Road; h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng n\u00e0y c\u1ea5p cho c\u00f4ng d\u00e2n m\u1ed9t s\u1ed5 th\u00f4ng h\u00e0nh k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt s\u1ed1 d\u00f9ng cho m\u1ecdi vi\u1ec7c t\u1eeb b\u1ecf phi\u1ebfu b\u1ea7u c\u1eed t\u1edbi y t\u1ebf v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng), tr\u00f9ng h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi b\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ec9nh tho\u1ea3ng x\u1ea3y ra do nh\u1eefng k\u1ebb khi\u00eau kh\u00edch x\u00fai gi\u1ee5c v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c \u1ed3 \u1ea1t t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng tuy\u00ean truy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c k\u00eanh TV c\u1ee7a Nga (\u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n s\u00e1u d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 Estonia xem). Gi\u1eefa c\u1ea3nh gia t\u0103ng t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng v\u00f4 lu\u1eadt ph\u00e1p, ho\u1eb7c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u00e0n d\u1ef1ng nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o s\u1eafc d\u00e2n Nga (chi\u1ebfm m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n t\u01b0 d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 Estonia) do c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t Nga ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1ea7m, Nga tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 m\u1ed9t s\u1ee9 m\u1ec7nh \u201cg\u00ecn gi\u1eef h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh\u201d t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1eadp m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec7m quanh th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 \u1edf v\u00f9ng bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi Narva c\u00f3 d\u00e2n Nga, \u1edf ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng Estonia. L\u00fac \u0111\u00f3 NATO ph\u1ea3i c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc c\u00e1ch ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng: tuy\u00ean chi\u1ebfn v\u1edbi Nga v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t can thi\u1ec7p v\u1eb7t v\u00e3nh nh\u01b0 v\u1eady? Hay ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf, v\u00e0 n\u1ebfu v\u1eady th\u00ec g\u00e2y s\u00fat gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00f2ng tin c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean \u0110\u00f4ng \u00c2u v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 t\u00edn nhi\u1ec7m c\u1ee7a li\u00ean minh? \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Nga, theo quan ch\u1ee9c Ba Lan \u0111\u00e0m \u0111\u1ea1o v\u1edbi t\u00f4i, to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 tri\u1ec7t ti\u00eau s\u1ef1 t\u00edn nhi\u1ec7m c\u1ee7a NATO. Chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u1ea5t \u1edf v\u00f9ng Baltic ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n l\u00e0 chuy\u1ec7n ph\u1ee5.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n nh\u01b0 v\u1eady kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 h\u00e3o huy\u1ec1n. Trong m\u1ed9t chuy\u1ebfn \u0111i g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a t\u00f4i t\u1edbi Tallinn, m\u1ed9t quan ch\u1ee9c an ninh cao c\u1ea5p c\u1ee7a Estonia n\u00f3i v\u1edbi t\u00f4i r\u1eb1ng b\u1ea5t c\u1ee9 khi n\u00e0o Nga ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn l\u1edbn g\u1ea7n bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi Estonia, s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e1c v\u1ee5 \u00e2m m\u01b0u t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng tr\u1ef1c tuy\u1ebfn t\u1eeb Moscow nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o Estonia t\u0103ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. \u00d4ng n\u00f3i kh\u00f4ng r\u00f5 li\u1ec7u nh\u1eefng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 v\u1eady ch\u1ec9 nh\u1eb1m \u0111\u1ec3 d\u1ecda Estonia hay c\u00f3 \u00fd \u0111\u1ed3 h\u1ee7y di\u1ec7t th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1. \u201cNh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 l\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau.\u201d<\/p>\n

Trong v\u00e0i th\u00e1ng qua, t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00f9ng Baltic \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c NATO giao nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 so\u1ea1n c\u00e1c t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh chi ti\u1ebft v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n l\u00ean cho ban ch\u1ec9 huy c\u1ea5p cao c\u1ee7a li\u00ean minh \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1edbi ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n c\u00e1c ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng.<\/p>\n

Trung t\u01b0\u1edbng Riho Terras, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Estonia, n\u00f3i chi\u1ebfn tranh v\u1edbi Nga l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ti\u00ean \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. Nh\u01b0ng m\u1ed9t k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn nh\u01b0 v\u1eady n\u00ean l\u00e0 l\u00fd do \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng v\u00e0 quan ng\u1ea1i, ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i t\u1ef1 m\u00e3n. T\u01b0\u1edbng Terras n\u00f3i, \u201cCh\u00fang ta r\u1ea5t d\u1edf v\u1ec1 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ho\u1eb7c ti\u00ean \u0111o\u00e1n \u00fd \u0111\u1ed3. Ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 khi Nga x\u00e2m l\u1ea5n Georgia [v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2008]. Ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 \u1edf Ukraine [v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2014]. Ch\u00fang ta l\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c khi Nga c\u1eed qu\u00e2n sang Syria [n\u0103m 2015]. H\u1ed3i chu\u00f4ng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb t\u1eaft \u0111i sau bi\u1ebfn c\u1ed1 Georgia. Ch\u00fang ta ng\u1ee7 lu\u00f4n v\u00e0 nh\u01b0 v\u1eady l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng t\u1ed1t. Nga \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3. H\u1ecd x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh NATO l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c vi\u1ebft \u0111\u00fang ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c nh\u01b0 v\u1eady trong ch\u1ee7 thuy\u1ebft c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u2026<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec7p kh\u00fac ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Nga l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u1edf v\u00f9ng bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh NATO. Nh\u01b0ng s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a NATO trong khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y ch\u1eb3ng ngh\u0129a l\u00fd g\u00ec so v\u1edbi s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a Nga. H\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 2, Rand Corporation, m\u1ed9t c\u01a1 quan nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c kh\u00e1c t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3, \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t b\u1ea3n m\u1ed9t b\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 s\u00e2u r\u1ed9ng v\u1ec1 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u1edf Baltic. D\u1ef1a tr\u00ean h\u00e0ng tr\u0103m cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng, theo c\u00e1c t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a b\u00e1o c\u00e1o n\u00e0y, c\u00e1c k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u n\u00e0y l\u00e0 \u201cr\u00f5 r\u00e0ng\u201d. V\u1edbi c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng hi\u1ec7n nay c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, \u201cNATO kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean d\u1ec5 g\u1eb7p nguy hi\u1ec3m nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh.\u201d Ngay c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng k\u1ebft cu\u1ed9c \u00edt t\u00e1c h\u1ea1i nh\u1ea5t cho li\u00ean minh c\u0169ng cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Nga chi\u1ebfm Riga, Vilnius ho\u1eb7c Tallinn trong v\u00f2ng t\u1ed1i \u0111a 60 gi\u1edd v\u00e0 c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng NATO ch\u1ecbu th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i \u201cth\u00ea th\u1ea3m\u201d.<\/p>\n

Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u1ee7a Rand d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean th\u00f4ng tin ngu\u1ed3n m\u1edf v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t tri\u1ec3n khai c\u1ee7a Nga v\u00e0 NATO. N\u00ean t\u00f4i h\u1ecfi m\u1ed9t v\u1ecb t\u01b0\u1edbng cao c\u1ea5p c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c, ng\u01b0\u1eddi hi\u1ec3u t\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1eadn v\u1ec1 c\u00f4ng t\u00e1c ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a NATO, li\u1ec7u b\u00e1o c\u00e1o nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 ch\u00fat n\u00e0o ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh c\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ea3o m\u1eadt c\u1ee7a NATO hay kh\u00f4ng. \u00d4ng n\u00f3i c\u00e1c k\u1ebft cu\u1ed9c c\u00f3 kh\u00e1c ch\u00fat \u00edt, nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Rand \u201cv\u1ec1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n gi\u1ed1ng h\u1ec7t\u201d c\u00e1c k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a \u1ee7y ban qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1. \u00d4ng n\u00f3i NATO r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n Nga v\u1ec1 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u2014 nh\u01b0ng v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt, khu v\u1ef1c, Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e8 b\u1eb9p li\u00ean minh \u1edf ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ecba l\u00fd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho NATO trong vi\u1ec7c b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 v\u00e0 ng\u0103n ng\u1eeba Nga \u1edf \u0110\u00f4ng \u00c2u. T\u01b0\u1edbng Terras c\u1ee7a Estonia nh\u1eadn x\u00e9t, \u201cC\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Baltic gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t h\u00f2n \u0111\u1ea3o. Kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch gi\u1eefa Belarus [c\u00f4ng khai th\u00e2n Moscow] v\u00e0 Kaliningrad [v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea5t qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 h\u00f3a cao \u0111\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a Nga n\u1eb1m \u1edf v\u00f9ng Bi\u1ec3n Baltic] t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i nh\u1ecf. C\u00f3 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng xe l\u1eeda v\u00e0 hai con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ea1y qua n\u00f3.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 h\u00e0nh lang Suwalki \u2014 m\u1ed9t v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ecba l\u00fd nan gi\u1ea3i m\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c NATO th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn theo c\u00e1ch gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 h\u00e0nh lang Fulda c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c (d\u1ea3i d\u1ea5t kh\u00f3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 m\u00e0 xe t\u0103ng Li\u00ean S\u00f4 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng l\u0103n b\u00e1nh qua) \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e0n trong th\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn tranh l\u1ea1nh. T\u01b0\u1edbng Terras nh\u1eadn x\u00e9t r\u1eb1ng Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng h\u00e0nh qu\u00e2n qua \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0 c\u1eaft \u0111\u1ee9t ba n\u01b0\u1edbc NATO \u1edf ph\u00eda b\u1eafc h\u00e0nh lang n\u00e0y \u2014 Lithuania, Latvia v\u00e0 Estonia \u2014 kh\u1ecfi ph\u1ea7n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a li\u00ean minh.<\/p>\n

\"M\u1ed9t
M\u1ed9t m\u00e1y bay A-10 Thunderbolt II tr\u00ean b\u1ea7u tr\u1eddi Tapa, Estonia, h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 6. (\u1ea2nh: Andrejs Strokins)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u0110\u1eb7t ba ti\u1ec3u \u0111o\u00e0n NATO \u1edf ph\u00eda b\u1eafc h\u00e0nh lang n\u00e0y, nh\u01b0 h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh Warsaw s\u1ebd cho ph\u00e9p, l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y: l\u00e0m nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, NATO t\u0103ng m\u1ee9c c\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 g\u00e2y kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n cho Nga trong vi\u1ec7c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng m\u00e0 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng leo thang th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n. (Nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi trong gi\u1edbi qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ea5p cao c\u1ee7a NATO tin r\u1eb1ng Nga s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t k\u00e9o d\u00e0i, n\u00ean s\u1ebd ch\u1ec9 mu\u1ed1n d\u00e0n d\u1ef1ng m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1eafn h\u01a1n, c\u00f3 h\u1ea1n, c\u00f3 t\u00ednh chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt.) Theo nhi\u1ec1u quan ch\u1ee9c c\u1ea5p cao \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ecfng v\u1ea5n cho b\u00e0i b\u00e1o n\u00e0y, \u201cnh\u1eefng d\u00e2y gi\u0103ng b\u1eaby\u201d kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7. Nga c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ng\u0103n ng\u1eeba kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p c\u00f3 t\u00ednh bi\u1ec3u t\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u00e0 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c trang b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea9y l\u00f9i b\u1ea5t c\u1ee9 \u0111\u00f2n t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng n\u00e0o nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o h\u1ecd.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n trong m\u1ed1i quan ng\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd l\u00e0 do m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1edbn lao c\u1ee7a th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c m\u00e0 NATO hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1eadt v\u1eadt x\u1eed l\u00fd v\u00ec nh\u1eefng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u1edf h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh Wales \u2014 v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u00f3. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u1edbi toanh VJTF c\u1ee7a NATO \u2014 l\u1eef \u0111o\u00e0n ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng nhanh m\u0169i nh\u1ecdn \u2014 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u00f4 d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1ebfu Nga h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ee7 nhanh v\u00e0 quy\u1ebft \u0111o\u00e1n. M\u1ed9t v\u1ecb t\u01b0\u1edbng c\u00f3 tham gia c\u00f4ng t\u00e1c ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n cho VJTF n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tri\u1ec3n khai \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u201c\u1edf ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng s\u00f4ng Oder\u201d n\u1ebfu x\u1ea3y ra chi\u1ebfn tranh c\u00f4ng khai. L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y qu\u00e1 d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh h\u00e0nh qu\u00e2n v\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n khai. V\u00e0 trong nh\u1eefng tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p m\u00e0 l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tri\u1ec3n khai \u2014 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng \u201c\u0110i\u1ec1u 4\u201d, trong \u0111\u00f3 m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc y\u00eau c\u1ea7u h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 do m\u1ed9t t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng an ninh nhanh ch\u00f3ng x\u1ea5u \u0111i \u2014 v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i l\u1edbn.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t s\u0129 quan c\u1ea5p cao \u1edf \u0111\u1ea1i b\u1ea3n doanh Szczecin c\u1ee7a Qu\u00e2n \u0111o\u00e0n \u0110a qu\u1ed1c gia \u0110\u00f4ng b\u1eafc, trung t\u00e2m ch\u1ec9 huy m\u1edbi t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a NATO \u1edf \u0110\u00f4ng \u00c2u, li\u1ec7t k\u00ea m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t nh\u1eefng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, th\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn tranh l\u1ea1nh, ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 T\u00e2y \u0110\u1ee9c c\u00f3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0n \u00f4-t\u00f4 ray \u0111\u1ec3 di chuy\u1ec3n c\u00e1c trang thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1. \u201cHi\u1ec7n nay ch\u00fang t\u00f4i c\u00f3 kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed9t tr\u0103m. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y ch\u00fang t\u00f4i th\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00f3i ch\u00fang t\u00f4i c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ec3 s\u1eb5n 2.000 \u00f4-t\u00f4 ray. B\u00e2y gi\u1edd ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 ph\u00f2ng 20 c\u00e1i th\u00f4i c\u0169ng t\u1ed1n k\u00e9m l\u1eafm.\u201d V\u00ec c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng thu\u1ed9c t\u01b0 h\u1eefu tr\u00ean to\u00e0n Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u2014 chuy\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i hi\u1ebfm c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y 40 n\u0103m \u2014 nay NATO ph\u1ea3i n\u00f3i chuy\u1ec7n v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng c\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng gi\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u t\u1edbi kh\u00f3 hi\u1ec3u th\u1eadm ch\u00ed ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ec3 di chuy\u1ec3n s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng r\u1ea5t \u00edt xe t\u0103ng quanh l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba n\u00e0y. S\u1ef1 di chuy\u1ec3n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u1edf c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ef1u th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a kh\u1ed1i Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc Warsaw Pact v\u00e0 nay l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean NATO c\u00f3 th\u00eam nhi\u1ec1u kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n kh\u00e1c: ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn c\u01a1 s\u1edf qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u1edf \u0111\u00f3 v\u1eabn ph\u1ee5c v\u1ee5 c\u00e1c nhu c\u1ea7u Li\u00ean S\u00f4, ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, c\u00e1c s\u00e2n bay ban \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng cho m\u00e1y bay chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u MiG21, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u0103ng d\u00e0i, d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 l\u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ec3 NATO h\u1ea1 c\u00e1nh nh\u1eefng m\u00e1y bay v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i C-130 c\u1ed3ng k\u1ec1nh \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1eadp v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng VJTF. Nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u0103ng n\u00e0y th\u1eeba v\u1ec1 chi\u1ec1u d\u00e0i l\u1ea1i thi\u1ebfu v\u1ec1 chi\u1ec1u r\u1ed9ng: kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng xoay m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfc C-130 tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1eb1ng d\u00e0nh cho MiG21, ch\u1ee9 \u0111\u1eebng n\u00f3i g\u00ec t\u1edbi chuy\u1ec7n d\u1ee1 h\u00e0ng xu\u1ed1ng.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 t\u1ea7m th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1edbi m\u1ee9c v\u00f4 l\u00fd: xe qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng tu\u00e2n th\u1ee7 c\u00e1c quy \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ec1 kh\u00ed th\u1ea3i c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ed7i cu\u1ed9c t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn ph\u1ea3i xin gi\u1ea5y ph\u00e9p \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t m\u1ea5t m\u1ea5y tu\u1ea7n m\u1edbi c\u1ea5p \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng VJTF ph\u1ea3i tri\u1ec3n khai trong v\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e1 48 gi\u1edd nh\u01b0ng t\u00e0i x\u1ebf xe t\u1ea3i v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n xe t\u0103ng v\u00e0 ph\u00e1o v\u1eabn c\u1ea7n c\u00f3 s\u1ed1 gi\u1edd ng\u1ee7 t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u theo quy \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean hi\u1ec7p Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (EU).<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p \u0111ang t\u1eeb t\u1eeb \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ecm ra. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean vi\u00ean m\u1eadt m\u00e3 NATO \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ebf t\u1ea1o m\u1ed9t thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec3 m\u00e3 h\u00f3a th\u00f4ng tin li\u00ean l\u1ea1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u1edfi ch\u00fang qua c\u00e1c m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi th\u00f4ng tin li\u00ean l\u1ea1c th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng (c\u00e1i m\u00e0 gi\u1edbi qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 Internet \u201cb\u1ea9n\u201d), gi\u00fap li\u00ean minh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 li\u00ean l\u1ea1c nhanh ch\u00f3ng v\u00e0 d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i d\u00f9ng c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee9ng c\u0169 k\u1ef9, l\u1ea1c h\u1eadu v\u00e0 d\u1ec5 g\u1eb7p r\u1ee7i ro m\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean k\u00e9m t\u00e2n ti\u1ebfn s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Deutsche Bahn \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u00fd h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng x\u1eed l\u00fd nh\u1eefng tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n cho c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t tri\u1ec3n khai b\u1eb1ng xe l\u1eeda. C\u00f4ng ty h\u1ecfa xa \u0110\u1ee9c n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ea3m nh\u1eadn c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t tri\u1ec3n khai \u1edf Ba Lan h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 5 v\u00e0 th\u00e1ng 6.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y m\u1ed9t n\u0103m, NATO m\u1ea5t trung b\u00ecnh 30 ng\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c gi\u1ea5y ph\u00e9p ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ec3 chuy\u1ec3n qu\u00e2n quanh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. Nay, theo m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng ch\u1ec9 huy h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a li\u00ean minh n\u00e0y, m\u1ea5t trung b\u00ecnh 5 ng\u00e0y. Tuy nhi\u00ean v\u1eabn c\u00f2n qu\u00e1 l\u00e2u so v\u1edbi th\u1eddi h\u1ea1n 48 gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ee9a.<\/p>\n

T\u1ed5ng th\u01b0 k\u00fd Stoltenberg n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n v\u1edbi Nga nh\u01b0 v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u00f3 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh l\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u00e0 NATO c\u1ea7n \u0111i theo. M\u1ed7i khi t\u00f4i g\u1eb7p v\u1ecb t\u1ed5ng th\u01b0 k\u00fd n\u00e0y, \u00f4ng lu\u00f4n \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t v\u00ed d\u1ee5: khi \u00f4ng l\u00e0 th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Na Uy, m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1ecf, \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ea3o v\u1edbi Nga m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1eb3ng v\u1ec1 nhi\u1ec1u v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u2014 t\u1eeb ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi t\u1edbi quy\u1ec1n \u0111\u00e1nh c\u00e1 \u2014 ch\u00ednh v\u00ec Na Uy l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean NATO, ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3. L\u00e0 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t li\u00ean minh h\u00f9ng m\u1ea1nh kh\u00f4ng khi\u1ebfn Na Uy b\u1ecb Moscow khinh th\u01b0\u1eddng, m\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00f4n tr\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n

V\u1eabn ch\u01b0a ai r\u00f5 li\u1ec7u Nga c\u00f3 xem nh\u1eefng t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a NATO c\u00f3 \u0111\u00e1ng tin hay kh\u00f4ng. Cho t\u1edbi nay vi\u1ec7c h\u1ee9a h\u1eb9n tri\u1ec3n khai b\u1ed1n ti\u1ec3u \u0111o\u00e0n \u1edf ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 m\u1edbi v\u1ea5p ph\u1ea3i nh\u1eefng b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u ph\u1eabn n\u1ed9. H\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 1, Putin tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a NATO l\u00e0 \u201cm\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda an ninh qu\u1ed1c gia\u201d. H\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 5, Andrei Kelin, m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i giao c\u1ea5p cao thu\u1ed9c b\u1ed9 ngo\u1ea1i giao, c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o Nga s\u1ebd c\u00f3 \u201cnh\u1eefng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a\u201d. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, phe hi\u1ebfu chi\u1ebfn \u1edf NATO cho r\u1eb1ng s\u1ef1 la l\u1ed1i \u1ea7m \u0129 c\u1ee7a Nga ch\u1eb3ng qua ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 c\u00e1i c\u1edb cho c\u00f4ng cu\u1ed9c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 h\u00f3a hung h\u0103ng m\u00e0 Nga \u0111\u1eb1ng n\u00e0o c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 \u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh.<\/p>\n

Stoltenberg n\u00f3i, \u201cC\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang t\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o lu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec7u t\u1eeb Nga. M\u00e0 d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng g\u00ec ch\u00fang t\u00f4i th\u1ea5y l\u00e0 h\u1ecd \u0111ang th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 l\u00e0m.\u201d<\/p>\n

Theo \u00f4ng, cho t\u1edbi nay nh\u1eefng g\u00ec NATO th\u1ea5y kh\u00f4ng kh\u00edch l\u1ec7 l\u1eafm. \u201cCh\u00fang t\u00f4i th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga quy\u1ebft \u0111o\u00e1n h\u01a1n. Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m qua \u2014 hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i h\u00f3a c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u00f3. H\u1ecd \u0111ang t\u1eadp luy\u1ec7n c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u00f3. H\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n Barents, Bi\u1ec3n \u0110en, v\u00e0 Bi\u1ec3n Baltic v\u00e0 \u1edf Syria v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f4ng \u0110\u1ecba Trung H\u1ea3i. H\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 d\u00f9ng l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi \u1edf Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp phi ph\u00e1p Crimea v\u00e0 g\u00e2y m\u1ea5t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh mi\u1ec1n \u0111\u00f4ng Ukraine.\u201d<\/p>\n

T\u1ed5ng th\u01b0 k\u00fd Stoltenberg n\u00f3i th\u00eam, \u201cS\u1ebd c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho c\u1ea3 NATO v\u00e0 Nga n\u1ebfu tr\u00e1nh c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gia t\u0103ng, leo thang v\u00e0 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00e1c th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c an ninh kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n \u1edf Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. \u00d4ng cho r\u1eb1ng \u00edt nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 c\u00e1c k\u00eanh v\u00e0 nghi th\u1ee9c th\u00f4ng tin li\u00ean l\u1ea1c c\u0169 \u2014 c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng d\u00e2y n\u00f3ng c\u1ee7a th\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn tranh l\u1ea1nh \u2014 c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed3i sinh. \u201cNh\u1eefng t\u00ednh to\u00e1n sai l\u1ea7m\u2026 nh\u1eefng hi\u1ec3u l\u1ea7m\u2026 Hi\u1ec7n nay, nh\u1eefng s\u1ef1 c\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y ra nh\u1eefng t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng h\u1ebft s\u1ee9c nguy hi\u1ec3m.\u201d<\/p>\n

Ngu\u1ed3n<\/span>: Sam Jones, European wargames<\/em><\/strong><\/a>, Financial Times, 30-6-2016<\/p>\n

(B\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ecbch, k\u00fd t\u00ean Kh\u01b0\u01a1ng An, \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u0103ng hai k\u1ef3 tr\u00ean\u00a0Th\u1eddi M\u1edbi-Canada <\/em>ng\u00e0y 13 & 20\/7\/2016)<\/p>\n

B\u1ea3n ti\u1ebfng Vi\u1ec7t<\/a> \u00a9\u00a02016 Ph\u1ea1m V\u0169 L\u1eeda H\u1ea1<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

NATO v\u00e0 Nga t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1eadp tr\u1eadn \u1edf \u0110\u00f4ng \u00c2u: Nguy c\u01a1 chi\u1ebfn tranh m\u1edbi? Ph\u00f3ng s\u1ef1 chi ti\u1ebft c\u1ee7a Financial Times.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5276,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false},"categories":[6],"tags":[277,310],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/lendongxuongdoai.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/01.jpg?fit=700%2C394&ssl=1","jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p7qNYI-1n5","jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lendongxuongdoai.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5275"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lendongxuongdoai.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lendongxuongdoai.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lendongxuongdoai.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lendongxuongdoai.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5275"}],"version-history":[{"count":12,"href":"https:\/\/lendongxuongdoai.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5275\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6217,"href":"https:\/\/lendongxuongdoai.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5275\/revisions\/6217"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lendongxuongdoai.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/5276"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lendongxuongdoai.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5275"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lendongxuongdoai.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5275"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lendongxuongdoai.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5275"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}